Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this battle on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with full power and is based on completing competitions. In a five round fight this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his out and in striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The major differential lies at the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy rarely succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and look for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 1.70 Units.
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