The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat the Longhorns per week two and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take a top-four place in the race more than into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making bad decisions since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the best offensive launch in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That contains the 45 they dropped on Texas.
Together with the roar of Death Valley the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Could the No. 5 shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and likewise win the bet and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in Burrows skill . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving teams in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that will fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played . Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitors of LSU: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Even though its safe to say they have yet to play a QB of the standard of Burrow florida now sits at 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a ton of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a large ceiling.
Burrow will confront a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best pass-rusher coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing defensive line, while his awareness have to enhance from the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, and is the best in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is 85th in sack speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee.
With all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the gift they have on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Will be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that let the least amount of downs last year. Although this group is now 69th in passing yards itll be a force if given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this year, going. A tackle broke at the point on his way . Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky match.
It puts ways strain on Trask in a hostile environment, if they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect after week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley, I really do see this sport remaining most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything close to this against a defense who is proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably work out over time, as the group has relied on them much too much to alter the wave in games. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic from the Chase or Jefferson into some PIs.
But I do not expect this. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the appropriate bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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