This weekend we have the biggest contest we’ve ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We have a $10 entry contest with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never thought we would observe a 6-figure 1st place trophy for MMA but I was incorrect and I can not wait to chase it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov will be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings simply made it even bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights so that we could see a number of ties for this 1st place prize, therefore try to be different with your lineups somewhere, or leave wages on the dining table to be different in that manner. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card by a fantastic margin at his -900 gaming lineup. I love plugging in these high likelihood guys in cash so that I can lock a win in there and worry about finding 3 other wins from my 5 other spots. We generally only want 4 wins in money games to beat the money line, so that’s what I take for in these 50/50 or twice up games. Luque has been very impressive in his UFC conduct and he has beat some pretty big names. On paper, this is only one of the simplest matches nonetheless. In addition, he has big time upside down with his completing possible. He has an ITD lineup of -270, so that I believe we can have 100+ points within this triumph. He’s a fantastic play in all formats, however he will be chalky in tournaments, so that’s why he’s my cash play of the week instead.
GPP drama of the week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are almost always excellent to target in GPPs since it only takes 1 shot with a lot of those men. I believe that this is a good matchup for Volkov and he is priced at $8.7k this week. If he can get a 1st round KO at that price, he will probably be on the winning LU. Same goes for Lewis, therefore he is a good GPP drama too. However, my choice to win will be Volkov and that I like his cost. I think a few men priced above him this week will be much more possessed, therefore we could find a heavyweight favorite at lower ownership here. Fight Doesn’t Go To Decision is presently lined at -190, so this is a good GPP struggle to aim over all. If you enjoy the Black Beast to get the W, then he’s a fantastic fighter to throw in your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of this week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This really is the best odds worth on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. But on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 greater than Martin. I love searching online worth like that and that alone puts Martin in play in most formats. Martin also has the better odds to finish this fight ITD, so that’s another and with him. I like the flooring for Martin in cash games also since Laflare isn’t likely to finish if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we could afford a reduction from Martin and take the things he could rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . But he’s going to need to get a end to repay his $8.6k price . Sergio will not be going for almost any takedowns in this fight, and he doesn’t strike at a high enough rate for him to find 10x of that $8.6k. Sergio will be the better fighter on the toes, but when he doesn’t get a finish he then probably only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores do not cut it in $8.6k. There are just better plays points per dollar and people are the guys I will be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you’re earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:

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